Card Draw Probability Calculator

Enter deck size, target cards, draws and how many you want to find the draw odds.

How to use

  1. Enter your values in the fields above.
  2. Press Calculate to see your result instantly.
  3. Use the Share button to copy a link to your result.

About this calculator

The calculator applies the hypergeometric distribution: given a deck of N cards containing K target cards, the probability of drawing exactly k target cards in a sample of n draws (without replacement) is P(X=k) = [C(K,k) × C(N−K, n−k)] / C(N,n), where C is the combinations function; "at least k" sums this expression from k up to the maximum possible.

Card game and collectible-card game players — Magic: The Gathering, poker, and similar games — use this to work out the odds of drawing a specific card or combination by a given turn, and statisticians use the same hypergeometric math for any without-replacement sampling problem, from quality-control inspection to lottery odds.

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